Le Cygne noir: La puissance de l’imprévisible | Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Christine Rimoldy | ISBN: | Kostenloser Versand für alle Bücher mit. Ce livre revele tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces evenements aleatoires, hautement improbables, qui Nassim Nicholas Taleb was born in in Amioun, Lebanon. Le Cygne noir has ratings and reviews. Mark said: First, a disclaimer . Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Goodreads Author),. Christine Rimoldy (Translator).
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Le Cygne Noir: La Puissance de l’Imprevisible
He tells us that people do not acknowledge these events until after they happen. Il mondo in cui viviamo, nooir tecnologie che utilizziamo tutti i giorni sono il prodotto del duro lavoro degli scienziati prima e nlcholas poi. Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent 21 years as a risk taker quantitative trader before becoming a flaneur and researcher in philosophical, mathematical and mostly practical problems with probability.
I finally gave up reading the book when Taleb used two fictional characters’ answers to a thought experiment to point out that people who think scientifically are less likely to be succesful in life than the good ol’ Plumber Joe type who may not have the IQ on paper but has street smarts.
Le Cygne Noir: La Puissance De L’imprevisible – Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Google Books
Sometimes past evidence does not necessarily predict future trends. How many of these books have you read? NNT spends a whole chapter discussing luck and how every successful economist, banker, investor or other scalable professional is successful not due to skill, but to luck. Set up a giveaway.
Pourquoi ne devrait-on jamais lire un journal ni courir pour attraper un train? Customers who viewed this item also viewed.
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I suspect he thinks clever-sounding soundbite-ey lines like “what you know cannot really hurt you” prologue p. He appears nnoir see himself as some kind of persecuted genius, taking on the establishment. I didn’t like the book at all.
Speak for yourself, Taleb! It is very dry and negative.
The law of iterated expectations is not from statistics I am a statistician and never heard of it. NNT as he loves to refer to himself in the book is cyggne idiot. It does not help that he has to resort to inventing fictitious characters and situations instead of finding real life examples to illustrate his points.
You will accumulate more knowledge and more books as you grow older, and the growing number of unread books on the shelves will look at you menancingly. This review has been hidden because it contains spoilers.
Clearly the reference was to the brutality of the tactics employed by the Russians which took local gangsters by surprise. I will not go into to much detail over this book, naxsim I will say that I completely agree with the comment posted by Nina.
They give the illusion of understanding but don’t help you predict the future. What is a Black Swan?
I am interested in economics, sociology and psychology, and this book promised to be about all those things. This felt like it was trying to be the next The Tipping Point or Freakonomics: Taleb received his bachelors and masters degree in science from the University of Paris. He defines a black swan as an event we cannot predict, but then he tells us to try to predict black swans, just not precise black swans. But what about love? Having some of each is better than a single medium-risk strategy that is both more susceptible to catastrophe and less receptive to serendipity.
It is, to an extent, but I was disappointed in how little content this book has.
Glue them all back together attach prologue to the beginning and a final summary chapter to the end and send it off to the publisher. Would you like to report this content as inappropriate? If that’s the case then it’s probably a good read, but otherwise I really strongly endorse any other book on the topic.
There are a lot of problems with some of his arguments: Now imagine that someone were to sit down with the basic idea that the future is unpredictable and write one page essays on the subject. An Italian guy at this cocktail party, they were agreeing so much, that it didn’t matter that they spoke 2 different languages.
He regularly takes time off from this job to write his books. The study didn’t prove that complex models are no different from simple ones, just that not all of them were better but no claim that they were ever worse.
Amazon Music Stream millions of songs. Amazon Renewed Refurbished products with a warranty. Goodreads helps you keep track of books you want to read. Two chapters latter bell curves pop up again, but this time followed by silly fantasies about stock market traders named fat Tony or Honest Bob with Karl Marx and Karl Popper in the next paragraph.
Also, his technique of discussing topics by explaining why everything about them is wrong – it’s e Honestly, I’m shocked that a university professor would write this way. Share your thoughts with other customers. The entire book should have been a brief essay. Pourquoi ne devrait-on jamais lire un journal ni courir pour attraper un train?
I generally feel that I make a worthwhile contribution to the world. Lucas Carlson Because of the magnitude of disaster possible when people are wrong and unprepared for being wrong. And it is not supposed to!
On top of all that, the editing is sloppier than what you might find in most self-published erotic fiction.